Real Noroeste vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
REA
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
URT
1 - 0
REA
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
CAP
83%
12%
4%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
NVE
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 3
REA
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
INT
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
BAH
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
URT
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
BAH
45%
28%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |