Série D Brazil Ronda Pre-Clasificación Final
Global 6-2
Real Noroeste vs Aquidauanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 3
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 3
REA
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 1
REA
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
REA
0 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aquidauanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 6
AQU
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
AQU
2 - 1
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COS
1 - 3
AQU
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 0
COR
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |