Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 5-5
Real Noroeste vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
RIO
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
POA
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
REA
42%
23%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
REA
17%
26%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
NVE
35%
24%
42%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
ANA
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
LTD
62%
24%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
GRE
55%
27%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
IPO
1 - 1
ANA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
COS
1 - 1
ANA
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |