Real Murcia vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDB
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ELC
0 - 2
MUR
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
CDB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 0
TER
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
XER
2 - 0
MAL
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
XER
2 - 1
LEV
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CCF
1 - 3
XER
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
XER
0 - 1
SLA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
XER
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |