Real Murcia vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
VAL
3 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEU
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
XER
2 - 2
GRA
34%
30%
37%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CON
2 - 2
XER
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
XER
1 - 1
REC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
CDT
0 - 1
XER
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 1
XER
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |