Real Murcia vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
BET
1 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 2
RSO
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 2
VCF
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
4 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 0
DEP
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 2
MLL
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
DEP
0 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
FCB
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |