Real Murcia vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
MUR
3 - 2
FCB
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ATM
2 - 2
MUR
85%
9%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
MUR
3 - 6
ATH
19%
20%
62%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SEV
5 - 0
MUR
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 0
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
VAD
3 - 3
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ATH
1 - 1
VAD
82%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
VAD
4 - 1
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
DEP
0 - 1
VAD
62%
19%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
ATH
4 - 1
VAD
81%
11%
8%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |