Real Murcia vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
7 - 1
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
5 - 1
MUR
51%
21%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ALC
3 - 2
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 1
ZAR
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
CON
3 - 1
VAD
45%
21%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
2 - 1
OSA
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
BET
6 - 1
VAD
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 0
JFC
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |