Real Murcia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDB
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
CEU
2 - 2
MUR
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAS
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
CDB
4 - 2
MUR
38%
25%
38%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 1
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
CON
0 - 3
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
GIM
0 - 1
VAL
40%
24%
37%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 2
REC
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |