Real Murcia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1963 |
SEV
0 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 0
MUR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LEV
1 - 2
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDT
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 1
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
GRA
6 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDT
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
VAL
0 - 1
SFE
70%
16%
14%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |