Real Murcia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ALI
4 - 1
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
MUR
1 - 3
BET
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ELD
2 - 0
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDB
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ALG
3 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1957 |
VAL
2 - 3
MAL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
EXT
5 - 3
VAL
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1957 |
VAL
1 - 0
SDC
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
PUE
3 - 4
VAL
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
VAL
3 - 1
GRA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |