Real Murcia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
RCD
0 - 1
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
PUL
0 - 0
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
CPC
3 - 5
MUR
38%
22%
40%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
5 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 0
GRA
69%
17%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 1
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDL
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
CPC
1 - 1
VAL
52%
22%
25%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |