Real Murcia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SPO
7 - 0
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
5 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 1
RAC
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
5 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
CAS
4 - 0
MUR
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
6 - 1
RCF
59%
18%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAL
73%
15%
13%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |