Real Murcia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
3 - 0
LEV
41%
22%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 3
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 1
MLL
56%
22%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
VAD
5 - 3
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
MUR
1 - 1
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
VAL
4 - 1
IMP
90%
7%
3%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
LEV
1 - 0
VAL
87%
8%
5%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1948 |
VAL
5 - 0
GRA
50%
21%
28%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
MLL
1 - 1
VAL
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
VAL
8 - 3
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |