Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
4 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 0
DEP
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
FCB
3 - 0
MUR
84%
11%
5%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
OSA
2 - 1
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VCF
1 - 2
RAC
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
VCF
0 - 0
MAC
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
0 - 5
VCF
39%
27%
34%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 2
CEL
61%
23%
16%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
DEP
2 - 1
VCF
56%
24%
21%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |