Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
RMA
6 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 1
RSO
38%
23%
39%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ESP
7 - 0
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CEL
4 - 1
MUR
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ATH
4 - 1
VCF
65%
17%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
VCF
4 - 0
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
DEP
1 - 0
VCF
41%
23%
37%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
VCF
4 - 1
ALC
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |