Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ATH
6 - 1
MUR
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ALC
1 - 0
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 1
MUR
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
MUR
1 - 0
SPO
42%
22%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ATM
0 - 0
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ALC
1 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
VCF
3 - 2
ESP
76%
13%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |