Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 5
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 2
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
MUR
5 - 2
ESP
49%
21%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
VCF
1 - 1
SAB
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 5
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1944 |
VCF
6 - 1
SAB
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |