Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-9
Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
MUR
3 - 0
LOG
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LOG
0 - 0
MUR
35%
22%
43%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUR
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
MUR
6 - 1
OSA
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
MUR
6 - 0
ALA
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
RAC
6 - 2
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
VCF
7 - 1
RAC
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
VCF
0 - 0
ARE
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
RAC
2 - 1
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1934 |
OVI
7 - 0
VCF
56%
19%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |