Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
ATM
6 - 1
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
BET
3 - 0
MUR
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
MUR
2 - 1
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
DEP
5 - 4
MUR
71%
16%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
VCF
5 - 2
OVI
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
DEP
1 - 2
VCF
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
VCF
4 - 3
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
SEV
5 - 0
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |