Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
MUR
1 - 2
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
MUR
1 - 2
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
VCF
7 - 1
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
FCB
5 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
VCF
4 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
FCB
3 - 0
VCF
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
VCF
7 - 1
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |