Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMA
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
RMA
6 - 2
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
MUR
2 - 2
SEV
34%
24%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1921 |
SEV
2 - 0
MUR
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
VCF
10 - 0
ISC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
ISC
3 - 1
VCF
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
VCF
1 - 4
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1925 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |