Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-0
Real Murcia vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 3
MEL
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 2
MUR
66%
18%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
0 - 0
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
UDL
3 - 1
ORI
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 1
UDL
48%
22%
30%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 0
UDL
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
HER
4 - 0
UDL
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
UDL
4 - 0
RJA
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |