Real Murcia vs UD España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 0
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 1
BAL
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
VAL
3 - 1
UDE
66%
18%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CAS
3 - 0
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
UDE
6 - 0
MLL
72%
15%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |