Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Real Murcia vs Torrevieja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
SLA
2 - 2
MUR
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
MUR
0 - 0
ZAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUR
16%
28%
56%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAD
1 - 3
MUR
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
MUR
3 - 1
RSO
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
MUL
1 - 3
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
TOR
2 - 1
CIE
49%
27%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUR
16%
28%
56%
|
26 | 76 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
TOR
2 - 2
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
JUM
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |