Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Real Murcia vs Torrevieja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 1
ALA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SLA
1 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
TOR
0 - 1
MUR
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 1
ELC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUR
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
AGU
2 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
HOR
2 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
26%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
TOR
0 - 1
MUR
23%
28%
49%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
TOR
2 - 0
YEC
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CIE
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |