Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Real Murcia vs Torre Pacheco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
MUR
2 - 0
MLL
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 0
MUR
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
1 - 1
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALB
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Torre Pacheco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ELD
1 - 1
PIN
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
PIN
1 - 0
MAZ
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PIN
3 - 0
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
YEC
5 - 1
PIN
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
PIN
3 - 1
LOR
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +3 |