Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-4
Real Murcia vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
BET
2 - 0
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
MUR
2 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
CEU
1 - 2
MUR
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
MUR
3 - 2
CDC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
CDT
2 - 2
OVI
34%
30%
37%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
SPO
3 - 0
CDT
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
CDT
1 - 0
RAY
45%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
CDT
2 - 1
RCF
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
VAD
2 - 0
CDT
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |