Real Murcia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CCF
5 - 0
MUR
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 2
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
HER
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
MIR
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
HUE
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
XER
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |