Real Murcia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MUR
1 - 1
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
REC
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAD
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ALB
1 - 1
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
RSO
2 - 2
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 3
CEL
53%
23%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PON
2 - 1
SPO
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
66%
18%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
CUL
1 - 1
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |