Real Murcia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
RAC
2 - 2
MUR
60%
20%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 1
GRA
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
3 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
MUR
1 - 3
LEV
45%
21%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
HER
3 - 1
SPO
49%
21%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
3 - 2
VAL
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 3
SPO
50%
21%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |