Real Murcia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
MUR
1 - 2
VCF
38%
23%
38%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
ATM
6 - 1
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
BET
3 - 0
MUR
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
MUR
2 - 1
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATM
44%
21%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
SPO
7 - 2
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ISC
3 - 3
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
OVI
3 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
SPO
3 - 0
DEP
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |