Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-2
Real Murcia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
MUR
3 - 1
RAY
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
MAL
1 - 0
MUR
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
MUR
0 - 0
CCF
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
OSA
1 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
MUR
2 - 2
VAD
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
UDL
3 - 0
SEV
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
SEV
2 - 0
SAB
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
RSO
0 - 0
SEV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATH
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
PON
3 - 2
SEV
30%
30%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |