Real Murcia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
VAD
3 - 0
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 3
ALA
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 1
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
DEP
2 - 0
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATM
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
RSO
2 - 2
SEV
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
SEV
3 - 1
CUL
83%
11%
7%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ESP
2 - 1
SEV
50%
22%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
50%
21%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |