Real Murcia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 5
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
SEV
4 - 0
SAB
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 2
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
SEV
4 - 1
GRA
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1944 |
ATM
3 - 0
SEV
61%
18%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SEV
3 - 2
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |