Real Murcia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
ATM
2 - 2
MUR
70%
16%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
MUR
3 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
MUR
2 - 1
DEP
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
OSA
1 - 0
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1933 |
ALA
2 - 3
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
CEL
4 - 0
SEV
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
SEV
5 - 1
OSA
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
SEV
5 - 1
SAB
74%
15%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
RUN
5 - 5
SEV
64%
17%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 3
ATM
50%
20%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |