Real Murcia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
DEP
5 - 4
MUR
71%
16%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
MUR
1 - 1
ISC
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
SPO
9 - 0
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
SEV
5 - 0
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
SPO
6 - 0
SEV
49%
22%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
SEV
5 - 2
DEP
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 3
SEV
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
SEV
0 - 0
BET
57%
20%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |