Real Murcia vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MUR
3 - 1
ELD
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
MAL
2 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 2
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1962 |
OVI
3 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SEV
2 - 3
CAD
38%
22%
40%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
GRA
2 - 0
SEV
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SEV
7 - 0
COR
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
POR
0 - 1
SEV
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
UTR
0 - 2
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +2 |