Real Murcia vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MUR
6 - 1
PUL
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
XER
1 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
MUR
0 - 0
SFE
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
LEV
1 - 1
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
SDC
3 - 2
CCF
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAD
2 - 1
SDC
65%
19%
15%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
SDC
3 - 0
ALC
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ELD
2 - 2
SDC
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
SDC
4 - 1
EXT
51%
23%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |