Real Murcia vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CUL
0 - 1
MUR
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
MUR
5 - 1
ARE
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 1
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 2
ZAR
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
SDC
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 1
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
BET
1 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
JFC
5 - 3
SDC
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |