Real Murcia vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
MUR
7 - 1
ELC
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
JFC
4 - 4
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
64%
19%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 3
MUR
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
30%
21%
49%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
SDC
6 - 2
JFC
56%
20%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
MAL
5 - 0
SDC
77%
13%
10%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 0
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CAD
2 - 1
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BET
3 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |