Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Real Murcia vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
MUR
1 - 0
FCB
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FCB
4 - 1
MUR
91%
7%
3%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
PUE
2 - 1
MUR
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
MUR
3 - 1
PUE
75%
15%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
SAB
2 - 1
EUR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
HOS
1 - 1
SAB
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
UPL
0 - 0
SAB
49%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SAB
2 - 0
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAB
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |