Real Murcia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
COM
3 - 0
MUR
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
DEP
5 - 2
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 0
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
REC
1 - 0
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
4%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
3 - 1
RAC
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 1
CAS
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
RMC
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
RMC
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
ALC
1 - 4
RMC
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |