Real Murcia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LEV
2 - 3
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
MUR
2 - 1
GET
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SPO
2 - 2
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALB
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
LEG
3 - 2
MUR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
REC
3 - 0
EIB
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
EXT
1 - 1
REC
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
REC
0 - 0
CDT
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ULP
0 - 0
REC
33%
31%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
REC
1 - 0
CCF
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |