Real Murcia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
SAB
0 - 1
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MUR
2 - 0
GDE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
LEV
1 - 2
MUR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
MUR
1 - 2
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
ALA
1 - 1
REC
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
REC
0 - 2
CEL
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
GRA
0 - 1
REC
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
REC
3 - 1
ALG
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |