Real Murcia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1962 |
OVI
3 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
CAD
2 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MUR
2 - 1
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
GRA
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
OVI
3 - 1
MUR
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
REC
6 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
CEU
2 - 2
REC
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
REC
0 - 0
SFE
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
VIL
0 - 0
REC
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
REC
3 - 2
RJA
67%
18%
16%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |