Real Murcia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
BAS
0 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
CEU
0 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 1
EXT
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
LEV
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 0
SFE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
REC
1 - 1
SSC
61%
19%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
REC
1 - 1
CDT
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
REC
3 - 2
CEU
60%
20%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
EXT
5 - 1
REC
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
REC
1 - 0
LEV
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |