Real Murcia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
CAD
5 - 2
MUR
42%
25%
32%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
MUR
3 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ALI
4 - 1
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
MUR
1 - 3
BET
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ELD
2 - 0
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
GAD
4 - 3
REC
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
REC
4 - 0
MAR
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
RIO
1 - 0
REC
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
REC
3 - 0
PSE
87%
9%
5%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
UDM
2 - 1
REC
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |