Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-9
Real Murcia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
ELC
2 - 2
MUR
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MUR
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAS
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1970 |
ORI
1 - 2
MUR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MUR
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ZAR
8 - 0
PON
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
PON
1 - 2
ZAR
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 0
ZAR
27%
24%
49%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SLA
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |