Real Murcia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
17.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
SAB
1 - 0
MUR
55%
19%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1951 |
MUR
1 - 5
MAL
49%
21%
30%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
MUR
6 - 2
SLA
69%
16%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
UDL
6 - 1
MUR
51%
19%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
DEP
4 - 1
MUR
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
ZAR
6 - 2
MAL
46%
21%
33%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1951 |
SLA
1 - 1
ZAR
55%
20%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UDL
56%
20%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
SAB
2 - 4
ZAR
70%
15%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
BAD
1 - 1
ZAR
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |